1. Analyzing the Effectiveness of the U.S. Yield Curve as a Leading Economic Indicator Open Access Author: Kalgutkar, Aditya Anil Title: Analyzing the Effectiveness of the U.S. Yield Curve as a Leading Economic Indicator Area of Honors: Economics Keywords: Yield CurveInterest RatesU.S. Treasury Yield CurveU.S. RecessionsPredicting RecessionsProbit ModelEconomic Indicator File: Download Final_Thesis.pdf Thesis Supervisors: Dr. Russell Paul Chuderewicz, Thesis SupervisorDr. Russell Paul Chuderewicz, Thesis Honors AdvisorJames R. Tybout, Faculty Reader