Comparative Analysis of Fantasy Football Draft Projection Accuracy

Open Access
Author:
Andrejko, Paul Martin
Area of Honors:
Statistics
Degree:
Bachelor of Science
Document Type:
Thesis
Thesis Supervisors:
  • Andy Wiesner, Thesis Supervisor
  • Andrew John Wiesner, Thesis Supervisor
  • Naomi S Altman, Honors Advisor
Keywords:
  • fantasy football
  • draft projections
  • fantasy football draft
  • draft
  • espn
  • sports illustrated
  • yahoo
Abstract:
Today’s fantasy sports industry is worth $2 billion. In 2008, 22% of adult male Americans with Internet access between the ages of 18 and 49 competed in at least one fantasy sports league. Of the 27 million Americans that play at least one fantasy sport, 85% play fantasy football. The game has gotten so competitive that many fantasy football owners rely on expert advice to make their fantasy draft decisions. Although the draft is critical to a fantasy team’s success and dozens of agencies produce fantasy draft projections, little has been done to determine which set of draft projections is most accurate. The purpose of this study is to compare three popular sources of fantasy football draft projections (Yahoo, ESPN, and Sports Illustrated) and determine which agency provides the most consistently accurate fantasy football draft projections.