Onset in Civil War: A Case Study of the Troubles

Open Access
Kinsey, Allison Rae
Area of Honors:
International Politics
Bachelor of Arts
Document Type:
Thesis Supervisors:
  • Douglas William Lemke, Thesis Supervisor
  • James A Piazza, Honors Advisor
  • Troubles
  • Ireland
  • onset
  • civil war
Civil wars have been happening for thousands upon thousands of years. The question of why they occur continues to plague political scientists who search for the main causes of onset. A variety of viewpoints have been explored including the greed school, grievance school, and beyond. The recent Troubles within Northern Ireland have become something as an anomaly within the field of civil disputes, as the measurement of the variables related to this conflict reflect that statistically speaking, a conflict should not have occurred. Why would a democratic, rural state with little ethnic variance have a civil war? Perhaps onset occurred because this state was not so democratic, ethnically homogenous, and geographically situated in a peaceful manner after all. Correct measurement of onset variables conducted through historical research and case studies shows that the Northern Ireland conflict may not be such an anomaly of a conflict after all.